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2024-12-14 12:07:51

Analysis of the influence of the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds falling below 2% on the stock market. After the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, although there were many discussions from all sides, it basically had no influence on the stock market trend, and the stocks with high dividends remained flat and there was no obvious capital inflow. Some analysts believe that there are two reasons here. First, the funds invested in fixed-income products and the funds invested in the stock market generally belong to two types of funds, and they rarely operate across varieties. Even if the internal and external factors have changed, resulting in the need for mobility, but the specific implementation also needs a process, can not be immediate. Second, the interest rate of 10-year treasury bonds fell below 2%, which also reflected some judgment of investors on the trend of interest rate in the market outlook, and this actually reflected the market's expectation of the growth rate of the real economy, which required greater countercyclical adjustment. (Securities Times)Baker Hughes: In the week ending December 13th, the number of oil rigs in the United States remained unchanged at 482 (19 fewer than the same period last year).US stocks closed mixed. Broadcom rose more than 24%, and its market value broke through one trillion dollars. US stocks closed mixed. The Dow fell 0.20%, falling for the seventh consecutive trading day, the Nasdaq rose 0.12%, and the S&P 500 index was flat. This week, the Dow fell 1.82%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.64% and the Nasdaq rose 0.34%. Broadcom rose more than 24%, and its market value exceeded $1 trillion for the first time. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. Maiwell Technology rose nearly 11%, and its share price reached a record high, because its big competitor Broadcom released an optimistic revenue forecast. TSMC rose by 5%. According to industry sources, TSMC is committed to integrating CoWoS and SiPh, seeking to launch co-packaged optical devices (CPO) in 2026. In addition, Apple cooperates with Broadcom to develop AI chips, and TSMC's advanced process will welcome big orders again. Tesla rose more than 4%, continuing to hit a record high. The report said that the Trump transition team proposed to abolish the current general order requiring automakers to report accidents related to autonomous driving systems.


The Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue a blue gale warning at 06: 00 on December 14th. It is estimated that there will be 5 winds and gusts of 6~7 in parts of southern Qinghai, central and eastern Inner Mongolia and eastern Shandong Peninsula from 08: 00 on December 14th to 08: 00 on the 15th. There will be strong winds of 7-8 grades and gusts of 9 grades in the Bohai Strait, northern Yellow Sea, most of the East China Sea, Taiwan Province Strait, east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel, most of the South China Sea and Beibu Gulf.Canadian Finance Minister: If the United States imposes unreasonable tariffs, Canada will respond strongly.Brent crude oil futures closed up $1.08, or 1.47%, at $74.49/barrel.


Canadian Finance Minister: If the United States imposes unreasonable tariffs, Canada will make a strong response.Mine explosions and attacks in central Sudan killed 18 civilians. According to the news released by Sudanese media and non-governmental organizations on the 13th, mine explosions and attacks occurred in Sennar State and Gezira State in central Sudan on the 13th and 12th respectively, resulting in 18 civilian deaths.The yield of 10-year German bonds rose by 15 basis points this week. After the European Central Bank cut interest rates, the yield of 10-year Italian bonds rose by 20 basis points. At the end of the European market on Friday (December 13), the yield of 10-year German government bonds rose by 5.4 basis points, reaching a fresh high of 2.258%. This week, it rose by 15.0 basis points, and fluctuated around 2.120% in a narrow range from Monday to Wednesday. European Central Bank President Lagarde rose on Thursday. The yield of two-year German bonds rose by 5.1 basis points, reaching a new high of 2.072%. This week, it rose by 7.3 basis points, and it continued to fluctuate smoothly from Monday to Thursday. After Lagarde's press conference began, it retreated to a low level and further strengthened on Friday. The overall trading range was 1.915%-2.072%. The yield spread of 2/10-year German bonds rose by 0.144 basis points to +18.260 basis points, which fluctuated upward this week, with a cumulative increase of 7.953 basis points. The yield of Italian 10-year government bonds rose by 4.3 basis points, reaching a new high of 3.393%, and this week it rose by 20.0 basis points.

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